Skip navigation
Listen now:
NBC Sports: The Dan Schwartzman Show

BCS title-game odds
favor Tide by 2 scores

When the BCS championship game point spread was posted a month ago, Alabama was a 10-point favorite over resurgent Notre Dame.

Fast forward to game day and the Crimson Tide remain a big favorite at most Vegas and online sportsbooks. But bettors are giving lots of love to the Fighting Irish, with some books reporting as much as two-thirds of the betting volume on Notre Dame .

Most shops have Alabama as 9.5-point chalk today, but one still had them at -10, despite seeing a vast majority of bets on Notre Dame.

“Money keeps pouring in on Notre Dame even getting 10 points,” said Kevin Bradley, sportsbook manager at Bovada .

“It will be tough to move off that number as I expect some sharp bettors are waiting to see if will go to 9.5 and then slam a bunch of big money behind Alabama. As it stands right now, the book is a big Bama fan and I cannot complain about needing a 10 point favorite.”

Indeed, other shops are reporting that more small bets from recreational bettors are on the Irish, while the ‘sharp’ or more experienced bettors are backing Alabama. Some handicappers point to the fact that the SEC has dominated this game, winning all six BCS title games and covering the spread each time as more evidence that Irish bettors should rethink their positions.

They also point out that Notre Dame, despite their excellent season and legacy hype, are lucky to be here. They needed a Kansas State upset at the hands of Baylor and an Oregon upset in overtime against Stanford to leapfrog contenders to the No. 1 BCS slot.

Handicapping Data
Point Spread: Alabama -9.5 to -10 (as of Monday morning)
Total: 40.5 to 41 (both teams allowed just 10 points per game this season)
Consensus Betting: 61.7% of bets on Notre Dame (according to Odds Shark Consensus )
Betting Volume: 65% of money on Notre Dame (according to Bovada) *Note: other sportsbooks have the spread at -9.5 and saw far more large wagers on Alabama than on the Irish
Offense edge: Alabama 38.5 PPG – 26.8 PPG
Defense edge: Notre Dame 10.7 PPG – 10.3 PPG
Differential: Alabama 27.8 PPG - 16.4 PPG

BCS Game Trends:


advertisement
More news
Image:
AP
Nearly never Johnny Football

CFT: Johnny Manziel nearly transferred out of Texas A&M before the 2012 season after being suspended, according to reports, but he stayed after his successful appeal.

Getty Images
Former Penn St players offer support for lawsuit

About 325 former Penn State players, among them Kerry Collins and Paul Posluszny, have signed a statement supporting the lawsuit filed by the family of former coach Joe Paterno.

Video: Football from NBC Sports
The Hype: How early is too early for sports scholarships?
There's a disturbing trend afoot in college football -- the offering of scholarships to middle school students. Despite never playing a down of high school football, Lindell Stone, an eighth-grader who already has an offer from UCLA, is the latest hot commodity. Michelle Beadle and Carolyn Manno discuss the absurdity of this trend and consider the possibility of scholarships for embryos

Slideshow
Image: Nick Saban raises the championship trophy
  BCS title game
Pregame color, key plays and other moments from 'Bama's blowout win.

NBCSports.com

Slideshow
AT&T Cotton Bowl - Texas A&M v Oklahoma
  Bowl games
Check out the action from the postseason.

NBCSports.com

Slideshow
Image: Colorado v USC
  All-American team
Check out which players were best of the best at each position.

NBCSports.com

Slideshow
Texas A&M v Arkansas
  College cheer
Check out some of the college football cheerleaders from across the country.

NBCSports.com